FC Messina vs Troina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
DAT
1 - 0
CIT
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CIT
2 - 1
LUC
58%
20%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ACI
0 - 0
CIT
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CIT
1 - 0
FCS
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SSC
1 - 0
CIT
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ASD
0 - 0
ACI
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ROT
3 - 0
ASD
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 0
CCI
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASD
29%
25%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 0
MDR
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |