FC Messina vs Marina di Ragusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
PAT
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
USC
1 - 1
CIT
33%
29%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
GEL
1 - 1
CIT
35%
30%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CIT
0 - 1
ROT
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
BIA
0 - 1
CIT
32%
25%
44%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Marina di Ragusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MDR
3 - 3
MES
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
MDR
52%
23%
24%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MDR
2 - 1
LUC
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SMC
3 - 3
MDR
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MDR
0 - 0
PAT
15%
19%
67%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |