FC Messina vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
ROT
1 - 1
CIT
30%
28%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 3
CIT
14%
23%
63%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CIT
3 - 1
BIA
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CCI
0 - 0
CIT
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CIT
5 - 1
CSA
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
ACI
2 - 2
USC
57%
22%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
LIC
1 - 0
ACI
39%
23%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ACI
0 - 1
GEL
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ACI
1 - 0
CCI
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ACI
2 - 1
MDR
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |