Citizen AA vs HK Sapling analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2012 |
YAN
1 - 2
CAA
6%
14%
80%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
CAA
1 - 2
LCS
20%
21%
59%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
KFC
3 - 1
CAA
78%
15%
8%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CAA
3 - 3
CHO
34%
26%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
CHO
2 - 0
CAA
61%
21%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
HK Sapling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PFC
5 - 1
HON
79%
14%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TMS
3 - 0
HON
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HON
2 - 3
WTP
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
HON
2 - 3
YOK
32%
26%
43%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HON
3 - 3
TMS
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |