Cirencester Town vs FC Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
5º
20º
6º
23
11º
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 75.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
BER
3 - 2
CIR
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SWI
3 - 0
CIR
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
BFC
3 - 1
CIR
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CIR
3 - 3
WAL
77%
14%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CIR
3 - 2
PAU
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
FCR
0 - 1
BFC
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KEM
2 - 1
FCR
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
FCR
4 - 1
AYL
40%
23%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FCR
2 - 3
FAV
27%
25%
47%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
WAR
3 - 0
FCR
79%
13%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |