Cieza vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
14º
8º
58
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
CIE
61%
22%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CIE
1 - 1
MSM
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 1
CIE
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CIE
1 - 2
PUL
24%
25%
51%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
CIE
0 - 0
YEC
15%
22%
63%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MSM
2 - 0
LOR
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CFP
2 - 0
LOR
44%
28%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 0
PUL
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
EGP
2 - 3
LOR
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 0
ALC
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |