Ciervos vs Zitacuaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
10º
10º
12
2º
7º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciervos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PDC
6 - 0
CIE
78%
15%
6%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CIE
2 - 4
MAZ
13%
20%
67%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
4 - 0
CIE
78%
16%
6%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
CAA
0 - 6
CIE
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +3 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CIE
0 - 2
HUR
30%
20%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -3 |
Matches
Zitacuaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 0
ZIT
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ZIT
0 - 3
THM
56%
23%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ZIT
0 - 1
PDC
25%
26%
48%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MAZ
0 - 0
ZIT
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ZIT
7 - 0
CAA
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | +1 |