Ciervos vs Guerreros de Xico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.1%
3.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciervos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
AGU
7 - 1
CIE
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CIE
1 - 1
CAL
18%
23%
60%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 0
CIE
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CIE
1 - 2
HUR
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CIE
2 - 1
LOB
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guerreros de Xico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
LOB
2 - 1
GUX
86%
9%
4%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 0
GUX
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
GUX
0 - 3
AGU
10%
17%
73%
|
18 | 63 | 45 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
GUX
0 - 3
CAL
6%
16%
78%
|
18 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
ALE
6 - 0
GUX
88%
10%
3%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |