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Cuba First Division. Apertura, Matchday 10

Cienfuegos vs Matanzas analysis

Cienfuegos Matanzas
5 ELO 6
-45% Tilt 46%
12396º General ELO ranking 12219º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
19.5%
Cienfuegos
26.5%
Draw
54%
Matanzas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
Cienfuegos
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
54%
Win probability
Matanzas
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%