Liga Mayor Etapas Finales. Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Cibao vs Moca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cibao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 2
DEP
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOC
2 - 2
CFC
37%
29%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 1
JAR
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 0
CFC
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 3
UNI
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
MOC
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOC
2 - 2
CFC
37%
29%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 1
MOC
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 2
MOC
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
MOC
0 - 0
JAR
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |