FA Cup . Previa 1
Global 2-4
Christchurch vs Brockenhurst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
79.9%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 2
CHR
83%
11%
6%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CHR
1 - 5
AFC
9%
15%
76%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MON
4 - 3
CHR
80%
13%
8%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
6 - 3
CHR
75%
16%
10%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CHR
2 - 1
CAD
15%
19%
66%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Brockenhurst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 2
CHR
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BRO
1 - 5
HAR
37%
22%
42%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
TEA
2 - 5
BRO
9%
15%
77%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HAM
2 - 1
BRO
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 1
LAV
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |