Christchurch United vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
36%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
CHR
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
WAF
0 - 1
CHR
11%
15%
74%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SUF
1 - 3
CHR
11%
15%
74%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
NSF
11 - 1
FER
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
NSF
7 - 0
TAH
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
NSF
6 - 0
FCN
7%
13%
81%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NSF
0 - 2
BIR
12%
17%
71%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
NSF
1 - 0
ECB
59%
19%
22%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |