Christchurch United vs Manurewa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
4º
3º
13
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 2
CHR
37%
23%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 0
WEL
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
CHR
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 2
MEL
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 3
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 6
WEL
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AUC
1 - 0
MAN
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 5
WEL
7%
13%
81%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAO
2 - 1
MAN
32%
21%
47%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
AUC
8%
16%
76%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |