Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 1
CHO
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 2
SFF
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
CHO
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 2
CHE
57%
25%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 2
CHO
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 0
IND
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 1
SMI
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SMI
2 - 1
TAU
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SMI
2 - 0
AMA
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SFF
2 - 2
SMI
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |