Universitario vs San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 2
CHO
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
AFC
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
CHO
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 2
CHO
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 1
TAU
42%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SFF
0 - 0
TAU
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
SFF
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SMI
2 - 1
SFF
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SFF
1 - 0
AMA
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SFF
2 - 0
ARA
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |