Chornomorets Odessa vs Vorskla Poltava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
44.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
9º
16º
9º
45
5º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 1
CHO
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 2
SHA
10%
17%
74%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
INH
1 - 2
CHO
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 1
MET
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 3
CHO
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vorskla Poltava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
VOR
1 - 0
INH
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PFC
3 - 0
VOR
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VOR
0 - 0
MET
64%
23%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 2
VOR
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VOR
2 - 3
ZOR
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |