Chorley vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
GLO
1 - 1
CHO
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHO
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 1
WOL
7%
18%
75%
|
43 | 85 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
3 - 2
FAR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 2
LEA
48%
26%
27%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 2
GUL
18%
21%
62%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
HAL
1 - 2
SOU
65%
20%
16%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 2
CUR
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SPE
2 - 2
SOU
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 1
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |