Chorley vs Leek Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 1
ALF
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ASH
0 - 5
CHO
28%
25%
48%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 2
CHO
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 0
CUR
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BLY
1 - 2
CHO
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Leek Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
LEE
3 - 0
PAR
78%
14%
9%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LEE
4 - 0
RAM
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
LEE
12%
16%
73%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LEE
3 - 2
CHA
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 2
LEE
13%
16%
71%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -1 |