Chorley vs Leamington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BOS
0 - 2
CHO
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CHO
3 - 0
KID
56%
24%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DAR
1 - 1
CHO
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
CHO
2 - 0
NUN
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 1
ASH
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LEA
1 - 0
SOU
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
LEA
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 1
LEA
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LEA
0 - 1
YOR
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 0
LEA
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |