Chorley vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 2
FYL
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 0
CHO
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
GAT
0 - 1
CHO
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
CHO
4 - 3
CUR
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
FYL
1 - 2
CHO
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
GLO
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 4
HER
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
KID
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
GAT
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
HER
62%
23%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |