Chorley vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
50.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GUL
2 - 0
CHO
73%
17%
11%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 1
BAR
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
EBB
1 - 0
CHO
59%
22%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
YEO
1 - 1
CHO
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 1
HAL
23%
25%
51%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
TOW
3 - 0
EAS
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 2
FYL
32%
24%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
TOW
2 - 0
EAS
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 0
WOK
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
EAS
0 - 0
ALD
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |