Chonburi vs Samut Prakan City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chonburi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NAK
1 - 0
CHO
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 3
BAN
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SUK
3 - 2
CHO
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RAT
1 - 2
CHO
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CHO
3 - 0
KHU
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Samut Prakan City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 2
CHA
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NBP
5 - 1
PAT
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PAT
4 - 2
KAS
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
PAT
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 2
PAT
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |