AFC Cup . Semi-finals
Global 2-8
Chonburi vs Erbil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chonburi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
BAN
53%
23%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
SON
1 - 4
CHO
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
2 - 0
TOT
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
SIS
2 - 1
CHO
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
4 - 1
BBC
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
ARB
4 - 1
CHO
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
KEL
1 - 1
ARB
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
ARB
5 - 1
KEL
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ARB
0 - 0
KIR
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
ALQ
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |