Cholet vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 1
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
SÈT
0 - 0
CHO
37%
27%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 2
VIL
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
LMU
2 - 0
CHO
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 2
USB
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 2
RED
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
4 - 2
SML
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 2
AVR
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
ORL
2 - 2
LUS
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
STL
1 - 2
LUS
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |