Choco vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
CDO
4 - 1
CHO
79%
15%
6%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
CHO
0 - 1
CEL
56%
24%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
POR
2 - 2
CHO
71%
19%
11%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
CHO
0 - 1
ALO
37%
28%
35%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
FLA
1 - 2
CHO
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
LUG
1 - 0
LEM
74%
18%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
VIS
0 - 0
LUG
44%
28%
28%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
LUG
1 - 0
CLU
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
ARO
1 - 1
LUG
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 0
LUG
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |