Choco vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SOF
1 - 3
CHO
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SOM
2 - 1
CHO
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
VIV
3 - 2
CHO
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 1
ALO
53%
24%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
CHO
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ARZ
1 - 1
POL
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VIV
1 - 1
ARZ
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
1 - 1
ARZ
29%
24%
46%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ARZ
1 - 1
NOI
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
RCV
2 - 2
ARZ
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |