Choco vs Céltiga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
CHO
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 1
POR
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CUL
1 - 2
CHO
46%
23%
30%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
UMI
2 - 2
CHO
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
CAM
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 4
UDA
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PON
1 - 3
CEL
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CEL
7 - 0
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 3
CEL
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 1
PON
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |