Choco vs Céltiga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CRU
0 - 0
CHO
33%
26%
40%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
ARO
2 - 1
CHO
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
TOM
0 - 4
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 2
PON
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 0
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PON
0 - 0
CEL
48%
26%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 0
ORD
32%
26%
42%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SOM
1 - 0
CEL
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 2
RVI
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |