Choco vs Boiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ASP
2 - 1
CHO
46%
25%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 0
VER
65%
19%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ORD
1 - 1
CHO
27%
26%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CHO
4 - 0
GAL
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NEG
1 - 1
CHO
27%
25%
48%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Boiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BOI
2 - 0
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 1
BOI
40%
25%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BOI
1 - 1
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BER
0 - 1
BOI
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
BOI
0 - 1
DEP
43%
25%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |