UEFA Intertoto Cup . Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Chmel Blšany vs Sigma Olomouc analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chmel Blšany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
DRN
1 - 3
CHM
52%
24%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2000 |
SIG
3 - 1
CHM
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
KAL
0 - 3
CHM
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
CHM
5 - 0
KAL
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2000 |
DNP
0 - 2
CHM
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sigma Olomouc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2000 |
TEP
0 - 0
SIG
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2000 |
SIG
3 - 1
CHM
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
SIG
2 - 0
SLA
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
SLA
1 - 1
SIG
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2000 |
SIG
8 - 0
VEL
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |