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Malawi League. Matchday 20

Chitipa United vs Be Forward Wanderers analysis

Chitipa United Be Forward Wanderers
8 ELO 12
-21% Tilt 22%
26637º General ELO ranking 7480º
41º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
32.4%
Chitipa United
27.8%
Draw
39.8%
Be Forward Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
Chitipa United
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.8%
Win probability
Be Forward Wanderers
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chitipa United
-43%
+14%
Be Forward Wanderers

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Be Forward Wanderers
69
69
100%
Big Bullets
67
67
100%
Silver Strikers
61
61
100%
Civil Sporting
48
48
100%
Blue Eagles
45
45
100%
MAFCO
44
44
50%
Moyale Barracks
44
44
50%
Kamuzu Barracks
42
42
100%
Red Lions
40
40
100%
Mzuni FC
10º
37
37
10º
100%
Azam Tigers
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Masters Security
12º
31
31
12º
50%
Dwangwa United
13º
31
31
13º
50%
Wizards
14º
27
27
14º
100%
Blantyre United
15º
24
24
15º
100%
Chitipa United
16º
16
16
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chitipa United
Be Forward Wanderers
Champion
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Be Forward Wanderers
MWF
Chitipa United
CHU
Moyale Barracks
MOY
Big Bullets
BUL
Blue Eagles
BLU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chitipa United
Chitipa United
1%
X%
2%
ELO CHU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2017
CHU
Chitipa United
1 - 1
Masters Security
MSS
46%
27%
27%
135 147 -12 0
08 Oct. 2017
MAF
MAFCO
3 - 0
Chitipa United
CHU
45%
27%
28%
136 148 12 -1
07 Oct. 2017
DWA
Dwangwa United
2 - 0
Chitipa United
CHU
46%
27%
27%
137 135 -2 -1
13 Aug. 2017
CHU
Chitipa United
2 - 1
MAFCO
MAF
46%
27%
27%
141 148 -7 +1
07 Aug. 2017
CHU
Chitipa United
2 - 1
Dwangwa United
DWA
45%
27%
28%
140 134 6 0

Matches

Be Forward Wanderers
Be Forward Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO MWF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2017
MWF
Be Forward Wanderers
1 - 0
Wizards
CHI
47%
27%
26%
173 133 40 +1
08 Oct. 2017
BLU
Blue Eagles
0 - 2
Be Forward Wanderers
MWF
45%
27%
28%
172 173 1 +1
07 Oct. 2017
SIL
Silver Strikers
2 - 1
Be Forward Wanderers
MWF
47%
27%
26%
173 200 27 -1
03 Sep. 2017
MWF
Be Forward Wanderers
0 - 0
Silver Strikers
SIL
45%
27%
28%
168 196 -28 0
27 Aug. 2017
MZU
Mzuni FC
0 - 1
Be Forward Wanderers
MWF
45%
27%
28%
169 119 -50 +1