Non League Div One Isthmian South Central Round 20

Chipstead vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis

Chipstead Tooting and Mitcham
30 ELO 18
-10.5% Tilt 5%
13439º General ELO ranking 15412º
777º Country ELO ranking 836º
ELO win probability
75.2%
Chipstead
15.7%
Draw
9%
Tooting and Mitcham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
Chipstead
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9%
Win probability
Tooting and Mitcham
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chipstead
-6%
-41%
Tooting and Mitcham

Points and table prediction

Chipstead
Their league position
Tooting and Mitcham
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
19º
11º
24
12º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Basingstoke Town
89
89
100%
Walton & Hersham
87
87
100%
Marlow FC
67
67
100%
Hanworth Villa FC
66
66
100%
Northwood
63
63
100%
Binfield
57
57
0%
Leatherhead
57
57
0%
Chertsey Town
56
56
100%
South Park FC
55
55
100%
Southall
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Chipstead
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Westfield FC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Thatcham Town
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Uxbridge
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Guernsey
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Ashford Town
16º
38
38
16º
100%
Sutton Common Rovers
17º
37
37
17º
100%
Merstham
18º
36
36
18º
100%
Bedfont Sports
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Tooting and Mitcham
20º
24
24
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chipstead
Tooting and Mitcham
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Chipstead
Tooting and Mitcham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chipstead
Chipstead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2022
WES
Westfield FC
3 - 3
Chipstead
CHI
36%
24%
40%
30 29 1 0
03 Dec. 2022
CHI
Chipstead
1 - 1
Binfield
BIN
44%
23%
34%
30 30 0 0
26 Nov. 2022
HAN
Hanworth Villa FC
2 - 5
Chipstead
CHI
40%
22%
39%
28 26 2 +2
19 Nov. 2022
CHI
Chipstead
2 - 0
Chertsey Town
CHE
24%
22%
53%
26 34 8 +2
12 Nov. 2022
ASH
Ashford Town
1 - 4
Chipstead
CHI
31%
23%
46%
25 21 4 +1

Matches

Tooting and Mitcham
Tooting and Mitcham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2022
TOO
Tooting and Mitcham
1 - 0
Guernsey
GUE
43%
24%
33%
18 18 0 0
20 Dec. 2022
TOO
Tooting and Mitcham
1 - 2
Thatcham Town
THA
25%
23%
52%
19 22 3 -1
03 Dec. 2022
LEA
Leatherhead
1 - 1
Tooting and Mitcham
TOO
63%
21%
17%
19 24 5 0
26 Nov. 2022
TOO
Tooting and Mitcham
2 - 2
Uxbridge
UXB
11%
19%
70%
18 33 15 +1
22 Nov. 2022
BIN
Binfield
4 - 1
Tooting and Mitcham
TOO
79%
13%
8%
18 29 11 0