Chipstead vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MER
2 - 2
CHI
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 2
WHI
59%
21%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
THR
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
FAV
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
EAS
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MER
2 - 2
CHI
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
HAS
1 - 1
MER
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 2
MER
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
MER
4 - 3
RED
77%
14%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 1
MER
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |