Chipstead vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
WAL
35%
23%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HYT
3 - 0
CHI
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
CHI
31%
25%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
SIT
48%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 2
WHY
30%
24%
46%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
LEW
1 - 3
CRA
19%
24%
57%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
LEW
3 - 3
WOR
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LEW
1 - 1
EAS
10%
17%
73%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DUL
2 - 1
LEW
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LEW
2 - 2
STA
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |