Chipstead vs Guernsey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 3
RAM
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
COR
22%
24%
54%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TOO
0 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 2
FOL
11%
20%
69%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
PEA
1 - 3
CHI
54%
22%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUE
1 - 2
FAV
45%
23%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
GUE
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
RAM
2 - 1
GUE
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GUE
6 - 2
WAL
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HAS
2 - 0
GUE
34%
23%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -3 |