FA Cup . 1/1024
Global 3-2
Chippenham Town vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chippenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
GLO
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GUL
0 - 1
CHI
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
4 - 1
CON
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
HAM
2 - 1
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 0
BIL
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WAL
3 - 1
SWI
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SWI
7 - 1
WOO
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 0
AFD
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 1
HEN
19%
21%
60%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 2
SWI
73%
15%
11%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |