Chinato vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
63.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chinato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
BRO
3 - 1
CHI
36%
24%
40%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 4
ARR
21%
22%
57%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
HER
3 - 1
CHI
74%
16%
9%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 3
COR
13%
18%
69%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CIU
2 - 1
CHI
31%
24%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
AMA
1 - 0
TAL
68%
19%
12%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
BRO
1 - 6
AMA
14%
22%
64%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAL
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ARR
4 - 2
AMA
21%
26%
53%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
AMA
2 - 0
GIM
72%
17%
10%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |