Asian Cup . Jor. 2

China vs Uzbekistan analysis

China Uzbekistan
83 ELO 78
-1.7% Tilt -4.7%
448º General ELO ranking 345º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.8%
China
23.6%
Draw
24.6%
Uzbekistan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
China
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.6%
Win probability
Uzbekistan
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
China
-14%
+20%
Uzbekistan

ELO progression

China
Uzbekistan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

China
China
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2015
SAU
Saudi Arabia
0 - 1
China
CHN
30%
26%
44%
83 79 4 0
03 Jan. 2015
CHN
China
4 - 1
Oman
OMN
54%
25%
22%
82 78 4 +1
21 Dec. 2014
CHN
China
0 - 0
Palestine
PSE
80%
15%
6%
83 57 26 -1
17 Dec. 2014
CHN
China
2 - 0
Kyrgyzstan
KGZ
87%
10%
3%
83 44 39 0
13 Dec. 2014
CHN
China
4 - 0
Kyrgyzstan
KGZ
87%
11%
3%
82 44 38 +1

Matches

Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2015
UZB
Uzbekistan
1 - 0
Korea DPR
PRK
52%
25%
23%
78 75 3 0
28 Dec. 2014
IRQ
Iraq
0 - 0
Uzbekistan
UZB
36%
27%
37%
79 76 3 -1
25 Dec. 2014
UZB
Uzbekistan
1 - 0
Iraq
IRQ
49%
25%
26%
78 77 1 +1
21 Dec. 2014
UZB
Uzbekistan
2 - 1
Jordan
JOR
52%
25%
23%
78 75 3 0
13 Dec. 2014
UZB
Uzbekistan
1 - 0
Palestine
PSE
73%
18%
9%
78 58 20 0
X