China vs Malasia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1986 |
IDN
0 - 3
CHN
22%
27%
51%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
PRK
0 - 0
CHN
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1986 |
CHN
2 - 1
IRN
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
ITA
2 - 0
CHN
78%
16%
6%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1986 |
CHN
3 - 1
PER
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Malasia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1986 |
SGP
4 - 0
MYS
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1986 |
MYS
0 - 5
CAN
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1985 |
IDN
0 - 1
MYS
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
SGP
0 - 0
MYS
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1985 |
MYS
6 - 0
PHL
66%
17%
17%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |