China vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
SYR
2 - 1
CHN
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
PHL
0 - 0
CHN
11%
19%
70%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
CHN
7 - 0
GUM
91%
7%
2%
|
82 | 25 | 57 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MDV
0 - 5
CHN
9%
17%
74%
|
81 | 39 | 42 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
CHN
1 - 0
TJK
80%
15%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
JPN
1 - 4
VEN
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
KGZ
0 - 2
JPN
13%
23%
65%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
TJK
0 - 3
JPN
13%
23%
64%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
JPN
6 - 0
MNG
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 28 | 60 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MMR
0 - 2
JPN
10%
20%
71%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |