Chieri vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RAB
1 - 0
CHI
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
5 - 0
NOV
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
DER
1 - 4
CHI
26%
26%
49%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
CHI
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
BOR
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LAV
2 - 0
GOZ
53%
25%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ASD
0 - 3
LAV
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
LAV
2 - 0
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LAV
1 - 0
RAB
64%
20%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 0
LAV
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |