Chichester City vs Erith Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
38.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chichester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BEA
2 - 1
CHI
11%
15%
75%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BIN
4 - 3
CHI
49%
22%
30%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ARU
4 - 3
CHI
15%
19%
67%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 4
HAI
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 6 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 3
CHI
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Erith Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 0
ERI
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 5
ERI
29%
21%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
ERI
4 - 1
LOX
80%
13%
8%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LOX
1 - 1
ERI
11%
15%
74%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HAS
1 - 3
ERI
26%
21%
54%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |