Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
CFS
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
DCU
3 - 0
CFS
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
KCW
2 - 0
CFS
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
RBN
0 - 1
CFS
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ORL
1 - 0
CFS
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NER
1 - 1
COC
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NER
2 - 1
NYC
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PHU
0 - 1
NER
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NYC
2 - 0
NER
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NER
4 - 1
CIN
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |