Chicago Fire vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
4 - 0
CFS
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CFS
2 - 0
RSL
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
COC
1 - 1
CFS
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 4
CFS
53%
23%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 2
CFS
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NYC
1 - 1
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 2
SES
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SJE
1 - 0
MON
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MON
4 - 2
DCU
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
5 - 2
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |