MLS Temporada Regular. Jor. 4

Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati analysis

Chicago Fire Cincinnati
72 ELO 73
0.6% Tilt 8.9%
456º General ELO ranking 153º
24º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.7%
Chicago Fire
25.9%
Draw
37.4%
Cincinnati

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
Chicago Fire
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.4%
Win probability
Cincinnati
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Chicago Fire
Their league position
Cincinnati
CURR.POS.
24º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
10º
21º
24º
69
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cincinnati
69
69
100%
Orlando City
63
63
100%
Columbus Crew
57
57
100%
St. Louis City
56
56
100%
Philadelphia Union
55
55
100%
New England Revolution
55
55
100%
Seattle Sounders
11º
50
53
100%
Los Angeles FC
51
52
100%
Atlanta United
51
51
100%
Houston Dynamo
51
51
10º
100%
Real Salt Lake
10º
50
50
11º
100%
Nashville SC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Vancouver Whitecaps
13º
47
48
13º
100%
FC Dallas
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Sporting Kansas City
20º
41
44
15º
0%
San Jose Earthquakes
15º
44
44
16º
0%
New York RB
16º
43
43
17º
100%
Charlotte FC
18º
43
43
18º
0%
Portland Timbers
17º
43
43
19º
0%
Minnesota United
21º
41
41
20º
0%
New York City
22º
41
41
21º
100%
CF Montréal
19º
41
41
22º
0%
DC United
23º
40
40
23º
100%
Chicago Fire
24º
40
40
24º
100%
Austin FC
25º
39
39
25º
100%
LA Galaxy
26º
36
36
26º
100%
Inter Miami
27º
34
34
27º
100%
Colorado Rapids
28º
27
27
28º
100%
Toronto FC
29º
22
22
29º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chicago Fire
Cincinnati
Final Series
0% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Chicago Fire
Cincinnati
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
PHU
Philadelphia Union
1 - 0
Chicago Fire
CFS
68%
19%
13%
72 83 11 0
05 Mar. 2023
CFS
Chicago Fire
1 - 1
New York City
NYC
26%
25%
49%
72 81 9 0
25 Feb. 2023
CFS
Chicago Fire
3 - 0
Indy Eleven
IND
86%
11%
3%
72 42 30 0
18 Feb. 2023
CFS
Chicago Fire
0 - 3
Real Salt Lake
RSL
39%
25%
36%
72 75 3 0
15 Feb. 2023
CFS
Chicago Fire
3 - 3
New Mexico United
NMU
80%
14%
6%
72 50 22 0

Matches

Cincinnati
Cincinnati
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
CIN
Cincinnati
1 - 0
Seattle Sounders
SES
33%
25%
42%
73 82 9 0
05 Mar. 2023
ORL
Orlando City
0 - 0
Cincinnati
CIN
49%
23%
28%
72 76 4 +1
26 Feb. 2023
CIN
Cincinnati
2 - 1
Houston Dynamo
HOD
53%
24%
23%
72 70 2 0
17 Feb. 2023
NSC
Nashville SC
6 - 3
Cincinnati
CIN
54%
22%
24%
72 79 7 0
14 Feb. 2023
NER
New England Revolution
0 - 4
Cincinnati
CIN
50%
24%
26%
72 79 7 0
X