Chicago Fire vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 1
CFS
42%
24%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
MIN
2 - 3
CFS
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CFS
1 - 0
TOR
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
CFS
3 - 0
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CFS
1 - 0
NSC
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
AME
1 - 4
COC
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
AME
4 - 0
STC
92%
6%
1%
|
84 | 39 | 45 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
AME
3 - 0
PUE
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
JUA
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |