Chiavari vs S. Christophe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
58.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiavari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
DER
4 - 0
CHI
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 1
ALB
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
CHI
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
ACQ
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AST
2 - 0
CHI
35%
25%
40%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
S. Christophe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LAV
2 - 3
SCH
28%
25%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 0
CHI
59%
21%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DER
1 - 4
SCH
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 3
AST
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 2
SCH
12%
19%
69%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |