Chiasso vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
THU
2 - 0
CHI
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
STA
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 2
GCZ
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
FCA
3 - 1
CHI
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 0
KRI
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
WIN
0 - 1
NEX
55%
23%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
WIN
3 - 3
FCA
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 2
THU
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 1
STA
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 0
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |