Chiasso vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
STA
3 - 0
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
FCL
8%
15%
77%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
FCA
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
NEX
2 - 1
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
WIL
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 3
THU
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
THU
1 - 0
KRI
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
FCA
4 - 2
THU
37%
24%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
THU
0 - 2
STA
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
SCH
4 - 0
THU
22%
24%
55%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -2 |