Chiasso vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
5 - 1
ZOF
70%
18%
11%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
GCB
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
5 - 0
SCH
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 3
CHI
22%
23%
55%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 3
GCZ
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 3
RAP
28%
24%
49%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 0
CHA
56%
22%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 1
LUG
65%
19%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 1
ZUG
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CHU
2 - 0
LUG
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |